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Kenitra

Kenitra, Rabat-Sale-Kenitra region: climate since 1991, the seven-day forecast, flood risk and inflation as measured by the HCP.

+0.8 °C temperature anomaly, last 12 months

Updated : 6 November 2026

At a glance PDF sheet

Temperature, last 12 months+0.8 °Cvs 1991-2020
Rainfall, last 12 months143 %of normal
Current season rainfall24 %20 mm since 1 September 2026
Warming trend+0.23 °Cper decade, p = 0.002
Inflation, year on year+0.8 %September 2026 · rank 8 of 18
Flood risk over 7 daysNonemax. forecast rain 4 mm

Seven-day forecast

Sat 7 Nov 27° 14° ·
Sun 8 Nov 29° 19° 0.8 mm
Mon 9 Nov 24° 18° 1.2 mm
Tue 10 Nov 25° 18° ·
Wed 11 Nov 23° 19° 1.2 mm
Thu 12 Nov 21° 18° 0.9 mm

Maximum and minimum temperature, daily rainfall. Open-Meteo (best available model). Flood risk →

1 Climate since 1991

Temperature stripes

1991Each stripe is one year: mean temperature anomaly (Kenitra) relative to 1991–2020 (blue cooler, red warmer). Source: Open-Meteo (ERA5), Observatory calculations.2025

Annual temperature anomaly vs 1991-2020

1991-2020 annual normal: 18.6 °C. Trend of +0.23 °C per decade (linear regression, 35 years, p = 0.002).

Annual rainfall (mm)

Hot days (35 °C or more)

Climate diagram (1991-2020 normals)

A month is dry when its rainfall (mm) is below twice its mean temperature (°C), following Gaussen's rule. Dry months in Kenitra: May, Jun, Jul, Aug, Sept (5 months).

Felt heat

Apparent temperature accounts for humidity, wind and radiation. In summer in Kenitra (June to August, 1991-2020), the apparent maximum averages 30.1 °C, against 27.1 °C for the air, a gap of +2.9 °C.

Days felt ≥ 32 °C 62 last 12 months; normal 35.6 a year
Days felt ≥ 41 °C 1 last 12 months; normal 0.3 a year
Trend, days ≥ 32 °C +3.5 days per decade, p = 0.085

Daily maximum apparent temperature (Steadman formula, computed by Open-Meteo from ERA5). The 32 and 41 °C thresholds follow, as a guide only, the "extreme caution" and "danger" categories of the NOAA heat index; they are not official warning thresholds in Morocco.

The last 36 months

2 Extreme rainfall

once every 10 years59 mmin one day
once every 50 years76 mmin one day
once every 100 years83 mmin one day

2025-26 season: maximum one-day rainfall of 52.7 mm (16 December 2025), rank 8 of 35 seasons. Maximum 30-day total: 260 mm, rank 7.

Method and other return periods →

3 Prices

Latest month: September 2026, index 121.5 (2017 = 100), monthly change of +1.0%. Source: HCP monthly notes.

The index tracks how prices have changed in each city since 2017, not their level: it cannot be used to compare the cost of living between cities.

Electricity: weather effect on the bill

For a typical household in Kenitra (120 kWh base, average sensitivity), the weather of the last 12 months amounted to +14 MAD compared with a normal climate, of which +14 MAD in summer.

Simulate for your household →

Bank credit and climate hazard

Credit13.81 bn DH1.07% of the national total
Deposits24.53 bn DHcredit = 56% of deposits
Bank branches115June 2026
Climate hazard index34 / 100relative, across the 18 cities

Bank Al-Maghrib, municipality only · Credit is booked in the locality of the granting branch, not necessarily where the financed activity is. All cities and regions →

Other cities in the region : Rabat · Rabat-Sale-Kenitra

City-specific point. An ERA5 cell is about 25 km wide: values describe the city surroundings, not an in-city station.