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Beni Mellal

Beni Mellal, Beni Mellal-Khenifra region: climate since 1991, the seven-day forecast, flood risk and inflation as measured by the HCP.

+0.8 °C temperature anomaly, last 12 months

Updated : 6 November 2026

At a glance PDF sheet

Temperature, last 12 months+0.8 °Cvs 1991-2020
Rainfall, last 12 months156 %of normal
Current season rainfall96 %74 mm since 1 September 2026
Warming trend+0.74 °Cper decade, p = < 0.001
Inflation, year on year−0.1 %September 2026 · rank 13 of 18
Flood risk over 7 daysNonemax. forecast rain 2 mm

Seven-day forecast

Sat 7 Nov 27° 15° ·
Sun 8 Nov 29° 16° 0.1 mm
Mon 9 Nov 24° 18° 0.3 mm
Tue 10 Nov 23° 18° ·
Wed 11 Nov 22° 16° 1.2 mm
Thu 12 Nov 21° 15° 2.4 mm

Maximum and minimum temperature, daily rainfall. Open-Meteo (best available model). Flood risk →

1 Climate since 1991

Temperature stripes

1991Each stripe is one year: mean temperature anomaly (Beni Mellal) relative to 1991–2020 (blue cooler, red warmer). Source: Open-Meteo (ERA5), Observatory calculations.2025

Annual temperature anomaly vs 1991-2020

1991-2020 annual normal: 20.3 °C. Trend of +0.74 °C per decade (linear regression, 35 years, p = < 0.001).

Annual rainfall (mm)

Hot days (35 °C or more)

Climate diagram (1991-2020 normals)

A month is dry when its rainfall (mm) is below twice its mean temperature (°C), following Gaussen's rule. Dry months in Beni Mellal: Jun, Jul, Aug, Sept (4 months).

Felt heat

Apparent temperature accounts for humidity, wind and radiation. In summer in Beni Mellal (June to August, 1991-2020), the apparent maximum averages 38.1 °C, against 35.8 °C for the air, a gap of +2.2 °C.

Days felt ≥ 32 °C 143 last 12 months; normal 125.3 a year
Days felt ≥ 41 °C 40 last 12 months; normal 20.9 a year
Trend, days ≥ 32 °C +10.4 days per decade, p = < 0.001

Daily maximum apparent temperature (Steadman formula, computed by Open-Meteo from ERA5). The 32 and 41 °C thresholds follow, as a guide only, the "extreme caution" and "danger" categories of the NOAA heat index; they are not official warning thresholds in Morocco.

The last 36 months

2 Extreme rainfall

once every 10 years48 mmin one day
once every 50 years60 mmin one day
once every 100 years64 mmin one day

2025-26 season: maximum one-day rainfall of 46.7 mm (16 December 2025), rank 3 of 35 seasons. Maximum 30-day total: 238 mm, rank 1.

Method and other return periods →

3 Prices

Latest month: September 2026, index 124.5 (2017 = 100), monthly change of +2.4%. Source: HCP monthly notes.

The index tracks how prices have changed in each city since 2017, not their level: it cannot be used to compare the cost of living between cities.

Electricity: weather effect on the bill

For a typical household in Beni Mellal (120 kWh base, average sensitivity), the weather of the last 12 months amounted to +85 MAD compared with a normal climate, of which +77 MAD in summer.

Simulate for your household →

Bank credit and climate hazard

Credit3.50 bn DH0.27% of the national total
Deposits11.70 bn DHcredit = 30% of deposits
Bank branches50June 2026
Climate hazard index71 / 100relative, across the 18 cities

Bank Al-Maghrib, municipality only · Credit is booked in the locality of the granting branch, not necessarily where the financed activity is. All cities and regions →

Same grid point as the region (its capital). An ERA5 cell is about 25 km wide: values describe the city surroundings, not an in-city station.