Rabat

Rabat, Rabat-Sale-Kenitra region: climate since 1991, the seven-day forecast, flood risk and inflation as measured by the HCP.

+0.8 °C temperature anomaly, last 12 months

Updated : 6 November 2026

At a glance PDF sheet

Temperature, last 12 months+0.8 °Cvs 1991-2020

Rainfall, last 12 months148 %of normal

Current season rainfall37 %24 mm since 1 September 2026

Warming trend+0.22 °Cper decade, p = 0.003

Inflation, year on year+0.7 %September 2026 · rank 9 of 18

Flood risk over 7 daysNonemax. forecast rain 3 mm

Seven-day forecast

Sat 7 Nov 25° 15° ·

Sun 8 Nov 30° 19° 0.4 mm

Mon 9 Nov 25° 19° 0.8 mm

Tue 10 Nov 25° 18° ·

Wed 11 Nov 23° 19° 2.8 mm

Thu 12 Nov 22° 18° 0.5 mm

Maximum and minimum temperature, daily rainfall. Open-Meteo (best available model). Flood risk →

1 Climate since 1991

Temperature stripes

1991Each stripe is one year: mean temperature anomaly (Rabat) relative to 1991–2020 (blue cooler, red warmer). Source: Open-Meteo (ERA5), Observatory calculations.2025

Annual temperature anomaly vs 1991-2020

1991-2020 annual normal: 19.0 °C. Trend of +0.22 °C per decade (linear regression, 35 years, p = 0.003).

Annual rainfall (mm)

Hot days (35 °C or more)

Climate diagram (1991-2020 normals)

A month is dry when its rainfall (mm) is below twice its mean temperature (°C), following Gaussen's rule. Dry months in Rabat: May, Jun, Jul, Aug, Sept (5 months).

Felt heat

Apparent temperature accounts for humidity, wind and radiation. In summer in Rabat (June to August, 1991-2020), the apparent maximum averages 30.8 °C, against 27.6 °C for the air, a gap of +3.3 °C.

Days felt ≥ 32 °C 76 last 12 months; normal 44.0 a year

Days felt ≥ 41 °C 5 last 12 months; normal 1.1 a year

Trend, days ≥ 32 °C +4.2 days per decade, p = 0.070

Daily maximum apparent temperature (Steadman formula, computed by Open-Meteo from ERA5). The 32 and 41 °C thresholds follow, as a guide only, the "extreme caution" and "danger" categories of the NOAA heat index; they are not official warning thresholds in Morocco.

The last 36 months

2 Extreme rainfall

once every 10 years44 mmin one day

once every 50 years57 mmin one day

once every 100 years62 mmin one day

2025-26 season: maximum one-day rainfall of 36.7 mm (16 December 2025), rank 8 of 35 seasons. Maximum 30-day total: 213 mm, rank 5.

Method and other return periods →

3 Prices

Latest month: September 2026, index 119.4 (2017 = 100), monthly change of +1.3%. Source: HCP monthly notes.

The index tracks how prices have changed in each city since 2017, not their level: it cannot be used to compare the cost of living between cities.

Electricity: weather effect on the bill

For a typical household in Rabat (120 kWh base, average sensitivity), the weather of the last 12 months amounted to +29 MAD compared with a normal climate, of which +26 MAD in summer.

Simulate for your household →

Bank credit and climate hazard

Credit164.04 bn DH12.67% of the national total

Deposits147.92 bn DHcredit = 111% of deposits

Bank branches273June 2026

Climate hazard index24 / 100relative, across the 18 cities

Bank Al-Maghrib, municipality only · Credit is booked in the locality of the granting branch, not necessarily where the financed activity is. All cities and regions →

Other cities in the region : Kenitra · Rabat-Sale-Kenitra

Same grid point as the region (its capital). An ERA5 cell is about 25 km wide: values describe the city surroundings, not an in-city station.