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Climate

Monthly indices computed from daily ERA5 reanalysis data, compared with 1991–2020 normals.

Source: Open-Meteo archive (ERA5 reanalysis), Observatory calculations. National value is an unweighted mean of regional points.

70 % season rainfall vs normal

Updated : 6 November 2026

Temperature +1.2 °C October 2026 anomaly 5 very hot days in the month Drought -0.82 national SPEI-3 4 of 12 regions in severe or extreme drought Farming season 70 %of normal to date season 2026-27 Dams 65.9 %filling rate 5 November 2026

1 Temperature

From day to year: how current temperature compares with normal, and how it has changed since 1991.

Daily temperature versus the usual range

+1.2 °CLast 30 days anomaly
+1.0 °CSince 1 January 2026
68 / 304Days above the usual rangeA day when the national mean temperature exceeds the 90th percentile for the same time of year in 1991–2020, i.e. warmer than 90% of comparable days.
1Days above the 1991–2020 maximum

Latest day available: 31 October 2026. Unweighted mean of regional points. The shaded band holds 80% of days for the same period in 1991–2020 (10th to 90th percentile, ±7-day window). Source: Open-Meteo (ERA5), Observatory calculations.

Heat calendar: every day in colour

 
−4 °C+4 °C

Each square is one day. Colour shows the gap between that day’s national mean temperature and the 1991–2020 normal for the same day: blue colder, red warmer than usual. Hover or tap a square to read the value. Source: Open-Meteo (ERA5), Observatory calculations.

Temperature anomaly (ref. 1991–2020)Difference between the observed mean temperature and the 1991–2020 average for the same month. A positive value means a warmer-than-normal month.

Very hot days in the monthA day when the maximum temperature exceeds the 90th percentile for the same month in 1991–2020, i.e. among the 10% usually hottest days of that month.

Very hot day: maximum temperature above the 90th percentile for the same month in 1991–2020.

2 Rainfall and drought

Rainfall in the current farming season, and the drought index combining rainfall and evaporation.

Farming season rainfall

70 %of normal

32 mm since 1 September, 70 % of the normal for the same date (46 mm). Ranks 14 among the driest season starts since 1991 (36 seasons). Full-season normal: 292 mm. Latest day available: 31 October 2026.

The farming season starts on 1 September. The thick orange line adds up rainfall since the start of the current season; the grey band holds 80% of 1991–2020 seasons at the same date. The further the line falls below the band, the larger the rainfall deficit. Values at regional capitals (ERA5 reanalysis), not station measurements.

SPEI drought index (national average)Standardised drought index: compares the balance between rainfall and evapotranspiration with what is normal for the same period. Below −1 moderate, below −1.5 severe, below −2 extreme drought. The number 3 or 12 is the number of months accumulated.

Negative values indicate a water deficit. Thresholds: −1 moderate, −1.5 severe, −2 extreme. In summer, rainfall is close to zero, so SPEI-1 and SPEI-3 are less informative.

3 Regions

The twelve regions on the map since 1991, then the latest situation of each.

Regional climate month by month since 1991

Choose the indicator, then move the slider or press “Play”. The ranking beside the map orders regions from most to least affected for the month shown; clicking a region opens its page. Source: Open-Meteo (ERA5), Observatory calculations.

The twelve regions

Tanger-Tetouan-Al Hoceima · SPEI-3 -1.78Oriental · SPEI-3 -0.91Fez-Meknes · SPEI-3 -1.47Rabat-Sale-Kenitra · SPEI-3 -1.56Beni Mellal-Khenifra · SPEI-3 -0.05Casablanca-Settat · SPEI-3 -1.88Marrakesh-Safi · SPEI-3 -0.40Draa-Tafilalet · SPEI-3 1.26Souss-Massa · SPEI-3 -1.45Guelmim-Oued Noun · SPEI-3 -2.73Laayoune-Sakia El Hamra · SPEI-3 -0.62Dakhla-Oued Ed-Dahab · SPEI-3 1.81
© OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL)
Wet Normal Moderate drought Severe drought Extreme drought

SPEI-3 drought index at each region's representative point (regional capital). Click a region to see its details.

Latest values by region (table)
RegionMonthSPEI-3SPEI-12Temp. anomalyPrecip. %
Tanger-Tetouan-Al Hoceima October 2026 -1.78 1.25 1.3 °C 23
Oriental October 2026 -0.91 -0.72 1.0 °C 89
Fez-Meknes October 2026 -1.47 0.70 1.4 °C 77
Rabat-Sale-Kenitra October 2026 -1.56 1.19 0.9 °C 36
Beni Mellal-Khenifra October 2026 -0.05 1.51 0.7 °C 141
Casablanca-Settat October 2026 -1.88 1.34 1.1 °C 34
Marrakesh-Safi October 2026 -0.40 1.70 1.6 °C 129
Draa-Tafilalet October 2026 1.26 0.85 -0.9 °C 319
Souss-Massa October 2026 -1.45 0.69 2.3 °C 30
Guelmim-Oued Noun October 2026 -2.73 0.13 2.8 °C 42
Laayoune-Sakia El Hamra October 2026 -0.62 0.76 1.0 °C 150
Dakhla-Oued Ed-Dahab October 2026 1.81 1.09 1.1 °C 1,024