Oujda

Oujda, Oriental region: climate since 1991, the seven-day forecast, flood risk and inflation as measured by the HCP.

+1.3 °C temperature anomaly, last 12 months

Updated : 6 November 2026

At a glance PDF sheet

Temperature, last 12 months+1.3 °Cvs 1991-2020

Rainfall, last 12 months96 %of normal

Current season rainfall67 %40 mm since 1 September 2026

Warming trend+0.53 °Cper decade, p = < 0.001

Inflation, year on year+2.3 %September 2026 · rank 3 of 18

Flood risk over 7 daysNonemax. forecast rain 1 mm

Seven-day forecast

Sat 7 Nov 23° 10° ·

Sun 8 Nov 26° 12° ·

Mon 9 Nov 26° 17° 0.3 mm

Tue 10 Nov 26° 15° ·

Wed 11 Nov 23° 15° 0.3 mm

Thu 12 Nov 22° 15° ·

Maximum and minimum temperature, daily rainfall. Open-Meteo (best available model). Flood risk →

1 Climate since 1991

Temperature stripes

1991Each stripe is one year: mean temperature anomaly (Oujda) relative to 1991–2020 (blue cooler, red warmer). Source: Open-Meteo (ERA5), Observatory calculations.2025

Annual temperature anomaly vs 1991-2020

1991-2020 annual normal: 17.5 °C. Trend of +0.53 °C per decade (linear regression, 35 years, p = < 0.001).

Annual rainfall (mm)

Hot days (35 °C or more)

Climate diagram (1991-2020 normals)

A month is dry when its rainfall (mm) is below twice its mean temperature (°C), following Gaussen's rule. Dry months in Oujda: May, Jun, Jul, Aug, Sept, Oct (6 months).

Felt heat

Apparent temperature accounts for humidity, wind and radiation. In summer in Oujda (June to August, 1991-2020), the apparent maximum averages 33.9 °C, against 31.9 °C for the air, a gap of +2.0 °C.

Days felt ≥ 32 °C 97 last 12 months; normal 78.9 a year

Days felt ≥ 41 °C 12 last 12 months; normal 2.4 a year

Trend, days ≥ 32 °C +9.2 days per decade, p = < 0.001

Daily maximum apparent temperature (Steadman formula, computed by Open-Meteo from ERA5). The 32 and 41 °C thresholds follow, as a guide only, the "extreme caution" and "danger" categories of the NOAA heat index; they are not official warning thresholds in Morocco.

The last 36 months

2 Extreme rainfall

once every 10 years49 mmin one day

once every 50 years68 mmin one day

once every 100 years76 mmin one day

2025-26 season: maximum one-day rainfall of 32.9 mm (12 April 2026), rank 15 of 35 seasons. Maximum 30-day total: 81 mm, rank 24.

Method and other return periods →

3 Prices

Latest month: September 2026, index 121.3 (2017 = 100), monthly change of +0.4%. Source: HCP monthly notes.

The index tracks how prices have changed in each city since 2017, not their level: it cannot be used to compare the cost of living between cities.

Electricity: weather effect on the bill

For a typical household in Oujda (120 kWh base, average sensitivity), the weather of the last 12 months amounted to +32 MAD compared with a normal climate, of which +47 MAD in summer.

Simulate for your household →

Bank credit and climate hazard

Credit9.63 bn DH0.74% of the national total

Deposits29.15 bn DHcredit = 33% of deposits

Bank branches151June 2026

Climate hazard index66 / 100relative, across the 18 cities

Bank Al-Maghrib, municipality only · Credit is booked in the locality of the granting branch, not necessarily where the financed activity is. All cities and regions →

Same grid point as the region (its capital). An ERA5 cell is about 25 km wide: values describe the city surroundings, not an in-city station.