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October 2026

+1.2 °C national temperature anomaly

Updated : 6 November 2026

Temperature anomaly+1.2 °C
Rain / normal174 %
SPEI-3−0.81
Regions in severe drought4 / 12

October 2026 shows a national temperature anomaly of +1.2 °C relative to 1991–2020, ranking 7 among the warmest Octobers since 1991 (36 years).

Rainfall reached 174% of the monthly normal.

National SPEI-3: -0.82 (normal). 4 of 12 regions are in severe or extreme drought: Casablanca-Settat, Guelmim-Oued Noun, Rabat-Sale-Kenitra, Tanger-Tetouan-Al Hoceima.

The largest regional anomaly was in Guelmim-Oued Noun (+2.8 °C); the average number of very hot days was 5.

Text generated automatically from the data. National values are an unweighted mean of 12 regional points (regional capitals). Source: Open-Meteo (ERA5), Observatory calculations.

Monthly economic brief (PDF)Download

Temperature anomaly by region

  1. Guelmim-Oued Noun +2.8 °C
  2. Souss-Massa +2.3 °C
  3. Marrakesh-Safi +1.6 °C
  4. Fez-Meknes +1.4 °C
  5. Tanger-Tetouan-Al Hoceima +1.3 °C
  6. Dakhla-Oued Ed-Dahab +1.1 °C
  7. Casablanca-Settat +1.1 °C
  8. Oriental +1.0 °C
  9. Laayoune-Sakia El Hamra +1.0 °C
  10. Rabat-Sale-Kenitra +0.9 °C
  11. Beni Mellal-Khenifra +0.7 °C
  12. Draa-Tafilalet −0.9 °C

Open-Meteo (ERA5), Observatory calculations

SPEI-3 by region

  1. Dakhla-Oued Ed-Dahab +1.81
  2. Draa-Tafilalet +1.26
  3. Beni Mellal-Khenifra −0.05
  4. Marrakesh-Safi −0.40
  5. Laayoune-Sakia El Hamra −0.62
  6. Oriental −0.91
  7. Souss-Massa −1.45
  8. Fez-Meknes −1.47
  9. Rabat-Sale-Kenitra −1.56
  10. Tanger-Tetouan-Al Hoceima −1.78
  11. Casablanca-Settat −1.88
  12. Guelmim-Oued Noun −2.73

Open-Meteo (ERA5), Observatory calculations

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🌍 Climate and economy in Morocco: October 2026 review

🌡️ Temperature: national anomaly of +1.2 °C relative to 1991–2020, the 7th warmest October since 1991 (36 years).
📍 Warmest region relative to normal: Guelmim-Oued Noun (+2.8 °C).
🌧️ Monthly rainfall: 174% of normal; national SPEI-3: −0.81.
⚠️ Severe or extreme drought (SPEI-3): 4 of 12 regions: Casablanca-Settat, Guelmim-Oued Noun, Rabat-Sale-Kenitra, Tanger-Tetouan-Al Hoceima.
🌾 2026/27 farming season: 32 mm so far, 70% of normal.
💧 Dam filling rate: 65.8% (as of 2026-11-05).

📄 Full brief (PDF in English, French and Arabic) and daily-updated data:
https://climecomorocco.org/en/bulletin/2026-10/

Sources: Open-Meteo (ERA5 reanalysis), Ministry of Equipment and Water, Observatory calculations. National values: mean of the 12 regions.

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